← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.81vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.79+0.44vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.32+1.57vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.09-0.13vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.64-0.29vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.66-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.15vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
2.44Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
-
4.57University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
2.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
-
4.87University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
-
5.71University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
5.74University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
-
6.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.6% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 32.0% | 28.1% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 28.9% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 3.4% |
| Will Cornell | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 4.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 35.5% | 15.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 12.5% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.