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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+3.92vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.79-0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.32+0.45vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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4.45University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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3.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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2.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 5.7% |
| Reade Decker | 35.8% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.6% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.5% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Cornell | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 15.6% | 3.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.3% | 26.8% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 35.4% | 15.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 13.5% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.