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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.66+1.59vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09-1.05vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.64-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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4.62University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 35.6% | 28.4% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.9% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Will Cornell | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.6% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 35.1% | 15.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 4.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.