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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.34vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.66+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.64-1.21vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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2.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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3.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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6.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 35.5% | 28.0% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.8% | 27.3% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.4% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Cornell | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 16.8% | 4.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 36.1% | 14.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 13.7% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.