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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+1.32vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+1.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.44-0.45vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.57+0.50vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.18+0.63vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.97-0.91vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.34vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.20-0.54vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-2.57-0.95vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.50-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Ohio State University1.1535.9%1st Place
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3.08Washington University0.6721.2%1st Place
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4.6Ohio State University0.098.8%1st Place
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3.55University of Illinois0.4416.4%1st Place
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5.5Hope College-0.574.9%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University-1.183.4%1st Place
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6.09Michigan State University-0.974.5%1st Place
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7.66Michigan Technological University-1.711.4%1st Place
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8.46Miami University-2.201.6%1st Place
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9.05Purdue University-2.571.2%1st Place
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9.07Ohio State University-2.500.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nadia Reynolds | 35.9% | 27.7% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wyatt Tait | 21.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Emily Williams | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Domenico Sacchetti | 16.4% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jack Rutherford | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Ian Knox | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
Caden Meyers | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
Avie Krauss | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 8.5% |
Graham Parsons | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 19.9% |
Kellyn Bucceri | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 34.4% |
John Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.