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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+2.75vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.35vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.66-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-3.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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3.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 34.7% | 28.7% | 19.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.9% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 28.8% | 25.6% | 19.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 36.0% | 14.7% |
| Will Cornell | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 4.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 12.0% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.