← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.45+5.28vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.61vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.32+3.62vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.15vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.24+5.21vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.35-0.62vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.91-0.20vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.90-1.15vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.07vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.28vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.85-0.06vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.13-5.94vs Predicted
-
14Washington College0.21-0.48vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University0.61-2.58vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia-0.43-0.53vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University0.13-2.99vs Predicted
-
18Princeton University0.70-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.28Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.62Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
10.21Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
4.4U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
-
6.38Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.8Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
-
7.85George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
-
11.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
13.28SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.94Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
-
7.06University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
-
13.52Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
-
12.42Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
15.47University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.01Drexel University0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.96Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 12.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 16.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 12.7% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 38.5% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.