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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+1.29vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+1.13vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.97+3.03vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.57+1.53vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09-0.39vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.18+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44-3.47vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.50-0.05vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-2.57-0.84vs Predicted
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11Miami University-2.20-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Ohio State University1.1537.8%1st Place
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3.13Washington University0.6720.4%1st Place
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6.03Michigan State University-0.974.8%1st Place
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5.53Hope College-0.575.7%1st Place
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4.61Ohio State University0.097.5%1st Place
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6.58Indiana University-1.183.5%1st Place
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3.53University of Illinois0.4415.8%1st Place
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7.58Michigan Technological University-1.712.1%1st Place
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8.95Ohio State University-2.500.7%1st Place
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9.16Purdue University-2.570.8%1st Place
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8.61Miami University-2.201.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 37.8% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 20.4% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Meyers | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Williams | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Knox | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 15.8% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| John Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 30.4% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 22.0% | 35.8% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.