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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+3.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+4.40vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.24vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+5.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.55vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-2.42vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.61+2.21vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.02vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.91-4.22vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.70-0.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.15vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.85-3.54vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.13-2.27vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.21-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.04Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.12George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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6.58Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.21Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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13.02SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.78Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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12.04Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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11.46Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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13.73Drexel University0.130.0%1st Place
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13.47Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 24.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.