← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.24+9.44vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.13+5.23vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+7.98vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.39vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.53vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.17vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.32-0.53vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College0.37+5.11vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University0.61+3.43vs Predicted
-
10Washington College0.21+3.82vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute1.77-2.55vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.70+0.41vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.45-7.11vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.90-6.41vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.35-8.65vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia-0.43-0.57vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University0.13-3.04vs Predicted
-
18Christopher Newport University0.85-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.44Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
7.23University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
-
10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
-
4.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
-
6.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
6.47Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
13.11SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.43Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
13.82Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
-
8.45Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
-
12.41Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
-
5.89Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.59George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.35Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
15.43University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
-
13.96Drexel University0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.41Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 17.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 17.0% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 38.3% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 18.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.