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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+1.33vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+1.04vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+1.64vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.18+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.44-1.40vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.57-0.57vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.97-0.78vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.44vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.20-0.59vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-2.50-1.00vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.57-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Ohio State University1.1536.5%1st Place
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3.04Washington University0.6723.5%1st Place
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4.64Ohio State University0.097.8%1st Place
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6.61Indiana University-1.182.9%1st Place
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3.6University of Illinois0.4415.5%1st Place
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5.43Hope College-0.575.8%1st Place
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6.22Michigan State University-0.973.5%1st Place
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7.56Michigan Technological University-1.712.1%1st Place
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8.41Miami University-2.201.4%1st Place
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9.0Ohio State University-2.500.7%1st Place
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9.15Purdue University-2.570.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 36.5% | 26.5% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 23.5% | 21.7% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Knox | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 15.5% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Caden Meyers | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 8.3% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| John Sullivan | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 24.8% | 30.6% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 21.7% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.