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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+6.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+7.83vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+5.68vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.25vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+0.45vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.44-1.87vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54-0.11vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+3.19vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.15vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-2.14vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.81-2.65vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.04vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.34-3.00vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.90-0.71vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.87-1.75vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.24-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.68George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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7.89Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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9.86Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.35Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.96SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.0Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.25Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.8Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Luke Barker | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 25.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 23.1% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.