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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.01+5.73vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.84vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.32+3.74vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54+2.12vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.34+5.07vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.82-0.85vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39-0.41vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.44-4.62vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+1.32vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-3.41vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.02vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.90+0.29vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-5.34vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.87-1.69vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.24-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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8.74Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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8.12Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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12.07Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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13.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.59Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.98SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.66Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.31Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.79Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 24.4% | 25.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.