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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.44+3.25vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54+5.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+9.46vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.32+3.69vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.29vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.59vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-1.25vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.43-2.49vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-2.16vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.34-1.24vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-3.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.90-0.71vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.24-1.09vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.87-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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8.19Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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13.46SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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6.41Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.75George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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9.84Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.76Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.22Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.91Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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15.02Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Finora | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 21.3% | 25.3% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 38.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.