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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+1.27vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+1.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.44-0.33vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.57+0.52vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.18+0.56vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.97-0.88vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.43vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.50-0.03vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.20-1.52vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.57-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Ohio State University1.1537.3%1st Place
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3.08Washington University0.6721.2%1st Place
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4.6Ohio State University0.099.4%1st Place
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3.67University of Illinois0.4413.1%1st Place
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5.52Hope College-0.576.4%1st Place
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6.56Indiana University-1.183.5%1st Place
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6.12Michigan State University-0.974.2%1st Place
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7.57Michigan Technological University-1.711.7%1st Place
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8.97Ohio State University-2.501.1%1st Place
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8.48Miami University-2.201.3%1st Place
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9.15Purdue University-2.570.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 37.3% | 27.2% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 21.2% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Knox | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Caden Meyers | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 7.0% |
| John Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 32.0% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 20.1% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.