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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.22vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.43+6.55vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54+5.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.70vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.44+0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.17vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.32+1.77vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.99vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+3.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-3.22vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-3.59vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-3.79vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.34-3.06vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.90-0.81vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.87-1.79vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.24-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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8.21Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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5.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.05Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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8.77Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.61SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.41Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.21Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.94Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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15.19University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.21Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.75Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 22.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 25.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 23.0% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.