← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.05vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.44+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.94vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+8.92vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.09vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.01+0.45vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.82+0.10vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College-0.06+5.11vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.08+0.56vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.08-0.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.87vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.39-3.14vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University0.81-2.58vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-1.24+1.83vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-0.87+0.22vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia-0.90-0.73vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University0.34-4.88vs Predicted
-
18Webb Institute1.54-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.26Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
12.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
-
5.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
6.45Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.1Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
13.11SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.56Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.79Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.13University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.86George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.42Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.83Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
15.22Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
15.27University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
-
12.12Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
-
7.88Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 5.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 23.3% | 35.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 25.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 25.8% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.