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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.03vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+6.74vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.44+0.14vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.19vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-0.51vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08+1.48vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08+0.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+3.21vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.90+4.28vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.54-3.71vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.87+2.06vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.82-7.11vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.80vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-5.42vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.34-4.88vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.24-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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5.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.49Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.48Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.28University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.29Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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15.06Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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13.2SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.58Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.12Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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15.77Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Finora | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 26.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 23.3% |
| Gilda Dondona | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 5.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.