← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.75vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.44+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.82+3.99vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.39+4.14vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.54-0.31vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.01+0.23vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.08+2.32vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute0.07+4.39vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.08+0.17vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-4.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.47-6.06vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University0.81-1.58vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-0.38vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.30vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-0.87+0.03vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-1.24-0.17vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia-0.90-1.87vs Predicted
-
18Princeton University0.34-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.05Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.99Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.14George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.23Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
9.32Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.39Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.17Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
4.94University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.42Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
-
12.7SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
15.03Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
15.83Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
15.13University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.54Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 14.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Finora | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Luke Barker | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 22.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 38.9% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 24.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.