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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.44+4.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.08vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+5.87vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.21vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.82+2.20vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.32+2.96vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-0.36vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81+2.58vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-3.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+1.91vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-1.12vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.54-3.55vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.34-0.97vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.87+1.18vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-9.17vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.58vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.90-1.56vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.24-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.87George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.96Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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6.64Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.58Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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9.88Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.45Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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12.03Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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15.18Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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13.42SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.44University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.87Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 23.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.