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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+6.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+3.60vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82-0.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+0.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+2.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-1.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+1.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62-1.82vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-7.24vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-3.26vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.19vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.01vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.45+0.20vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-9.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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16.2Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 34.2% | 16.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 7.7% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 14.7% | 71.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.