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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.94vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.76+8.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62+5.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-0.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+1.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.54vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.91vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-4.49vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-7.90vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-7.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.06vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.78vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.45-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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11.89University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.55Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.94Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.26Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 3.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 6.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 33.0% | 15.5% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 14.6% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.