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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+1.36vs Predicted
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2American University2.24+0.55vs Predicted
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3American University2.24-0.45vs Predicted
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4American University2.24-1.45vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.07-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.67-2.83vs Predicted
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7American University2.24-4.45vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.80-4.96vs Predicted
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9American University2.24-6.45vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36George Washington University2.380.3%1st Place
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2.55American University2.240.3%1st Place
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2.55American University2.240.3%1st Place
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2.55American University2.240.3%1st Place
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3.88Christopher Newport University1.070.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Virginia1.670.1%1st Place
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2.55American University2.240.3%1st Place
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3.04Virginia Tech1.800.2%1st Place
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2.55American University2.240.3%1st Place
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2.36George Washington University2.380.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connors | 32.1% | 27.4% | 20.5% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 26.4% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 26.4% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 26.4% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 48.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Needles | 14.5% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 26.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 26.4% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Gossman | 18.3% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 24.3% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 26.4% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 32.1% | 27.4% | 20.5% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.