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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+1.67vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.18+2.59vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09-0.39vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.97+0.17vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.57-1.43vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.50-0.06vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-2.57-0.89vs Predicted
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11Miami University-2.20-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Washington University0.6720.8%1st Place
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3.67University of Illinois0.4414.8%1st Place
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2.27Ohio State University1.1536.2%1st Place
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6.59Indiana University-1.183.6%1st Place
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4.61Ohio State University0.099.3%1st Place
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6.17Michigan State University-0.974.1%1st Place
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5.57Hope College-0.575.5%1st Place
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7.58Michigan Technological University-1.712.2%1st Place
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8.94Ohio State University-2.501.3%1st Place
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9.11Purdue University-2.571.0%1st Place
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8.39Miami University-2.201.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 20.8% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 36.2% | 28.0% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Williams | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caden Meyers | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 9.7% |
| John Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 32.1% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 33.7% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.