← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.47+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+2.63vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.29+3.74vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.44+5.70vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.71vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.06+1.71vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.84+1.29vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.82-3.03vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.51+0.59vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.03-2.48vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.59vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.62-2.99vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.43-6.67vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.76-1.98vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.36-2.05vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.81vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.45-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.63Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
6.74Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.7Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.71Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.29University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
4.97Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.59Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
7.52Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.01Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.33Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
12.02University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.95Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
14.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
16.26Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 2.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 6.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 18.3% | 32.4% | 15.3% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 13.4% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.