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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.10vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+3.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+1.41vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.43vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51+0.69vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-5.25vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+1.04vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-6.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.87-2.17vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.84vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.45+0.28vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.57Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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4.75Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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5.1Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.83Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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14.16Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.28Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 2.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 36.1% | 16.9% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 12.5% | 75.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.