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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+6.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+4.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+5.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.95vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-2.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.06vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-4.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.46vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.87-2.16vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.82vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.45+0.29vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.29-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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14.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.29Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.4% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 2.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| bella casaretto | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 2.3% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 36.9% | 16.6% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 12.2% | 75.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.