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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+6.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.80vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+4.29vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.35vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-3.07vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62+0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+0.93vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.36+1.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.23vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.43-7.63vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.89vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.44-6.23vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.45-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.01Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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14.11Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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16.27Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 3.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 23.1% | 6.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 34.8% | 14.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.