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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.33vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+6.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.76+6.08vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+2.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-1.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.84vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-4.75vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.36+0.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-4.84vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.41vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.79vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.45-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.59Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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14.21Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.26Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 3.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 6.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 32.9% | 15.5% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.