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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.35vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.36+10.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+3.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.92vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.81vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-3.85vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+0.92vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-3.16vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.45+2.20vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-5.58vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.80vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.89Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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16.2Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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14.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 21.8% | 5.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 2.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 12.5% | 73.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 31.8% | 15.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.