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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+7.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+0.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+0.87vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.76vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+6.90vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.08vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-1.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+1.85vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-4.71vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.84vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-3.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.20vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-4.19vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.45-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.56Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.9Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.85Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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16.2Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 32.4% | 13.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
| bella casaretto | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Laura Slovensky | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 6.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.