← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.92+3.49vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.47+3.92vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.43+3.11vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.82+0.98vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+8.88vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.29+0.75vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.62+1.85vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.03-0.68vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.06-1.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.76+1.71vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.16vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.86vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.72-1.09vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.51-4.58vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.36-2.16vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-1.45+0.15vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island1.84-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.49Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
5.92Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.11Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.98Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
13.88Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
6.75Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
8.85Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.32Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.51Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
11.71University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
11.91Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.42Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.84Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
16.15Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 30.4% | 14.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 7.2% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 71.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.