← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.47+4.86vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.82+2.82vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.15vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+0.76vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.06+2.25vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.51+3.45vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.29-0.35vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+5.78vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.03-1.36vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.43-3.99vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.13vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.94vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.36-0.12vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.72-2.03vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.62-6.12vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.76-4.22vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.45-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.86Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.82Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.76Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
7.25Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
9.45Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.65Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
13.78Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
7.64Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.01Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.06University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
12.88Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.97Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.88Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.78University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
16.18Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 30.4% | 14.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 7.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.