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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+1.57vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.67+0.08vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.18+2.56vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.57+0.56vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.97+0.08vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09-2.43vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.35vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.20-0.43vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-2.57-0.93vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.50-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Ohio State University1.1536.8%1st Place
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3.57University of Illinois0.4416.6%1st Place
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3.08Washington University0.6720.1%1st Place
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6.56Indiana University-1.183.8%1st Place
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5.56Hope College-0.575.7%1st Place
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6.08Michigan State University-0.974.2%1st Place
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4.57Ohio State University0.098.0%1st Place
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7.65Michigan Technological University-1.712.1%1st Place
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8.57Miami University-2.201.3%1st Place
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9.07Purdue University-2.570.6%1st Place
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9.03Ohio State University-2.500.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 36.8% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 16.6% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Tait | 20.1% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Caden Meyers | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Emily Williams | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 21.8% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 22.6% | 33.4% |
| John Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.