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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+4.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.61vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+0.22vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+6.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.60vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+0.96vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-2.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.75vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.45+1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-4.24vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.95Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.96Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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16.09Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.92Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 31.8% | 14.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 71.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 2.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.