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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+3.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+2.53vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+4.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+4.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75-1.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+0.27vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.92+2.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.72vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.84+1.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-2.30vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.38+2.54vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.84-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-2.07vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-0.43vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-2.83vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.88+0.13vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.77-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Dartmouth College2.550.2%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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3.96Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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6.27Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.54Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.57Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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16.13Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.03Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 26.7% | 10.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Simone Ford | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 10.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 4.3% |
| Kate Adams | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 70.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.