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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.77+5.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+2.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+2.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+3.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-1.84vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50+0.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.38+5.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-1.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-5.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.92-1.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.84-2.00vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.84-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-1.70vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-1.52vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-5.04vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College2.550.2%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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13.31Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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13.48Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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16.13Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 25.3% | 11.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 3.6% |
| Simone Ford | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 26.5% | 10.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Kate Adams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.