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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+3.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+4.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+1.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+3.13vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+2.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+2.82vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-2.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.50-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.54+1.16vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.84-0.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-3.04vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-2.99vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-0.29vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.38-1.40vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.53-4.73vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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6.19Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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7.13Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.66Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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13.71Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.6Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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16.21Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Simone Ford | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 28.2% | 11.4% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 27.3% | 11.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 1.4% |
| Kate Adams | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 13.3% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.