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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+3.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+4.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+1.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+0.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+3.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.70vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.92+2.95vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77-1.04vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.84+1.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50-2.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-1.86vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.36+1.61vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-4.99vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.38-0.26vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.54-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.53-4.72vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.68Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.74Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.61Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.01Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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13.74Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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16.21Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 19.7% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Celia Houston | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Simone Ford | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 28.6% | 9.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 29.2% | 11.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Ella Towner | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Kate Adams | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.