← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+2.88vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.55+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.77+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.56+0.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.14+5.65vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.57vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.71vs Predicted
-
9Boston University-0.38+3.70vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.50-2.48vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.01-4.93vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.52-4.50vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.92-3.67vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-1.22vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.30-6.91vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.53-5.38vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.88-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.88Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
-
4.5Dartmouth College2.550.2%1st Place
-
6.69Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
-
4.58Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.65University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
12.7Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.52Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.07Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.5Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.33Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
12.78Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
-
8.09Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
10.62University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
-
15.22Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 18.8% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 16.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 26.2% | 10.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Simone Ford | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 28.0% | 9.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ella Towner | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 1.3% |
| Kate Adams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.