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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+4.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+2.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+4.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+4.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.92+4.37vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-1.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+0.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-0.50vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.77-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-1.41vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.38-1.16vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-2.28vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.75-11.93vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.48Dartmouth College2.550.2%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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4.56Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.57Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.84Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.72Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.07Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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15.23Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 4.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 26.7% | 10.7% |
| Simone Ford | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 20.6% | 25.5% | 10.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Adams | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 13.3% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.