Race 3 - colony-cup | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%

Within 2 Positions

3.1

Avg Position Diff

10

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

+1.52

vs Predicted
2

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

+0.38

vs Predicted
3

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-0.48

vs Predicted
4

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

-0.13

vs Predicted
5

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-2.48

vs Predicted
6

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

-2.97

vs Predicted
7

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-4.48

vs Predicted
8

Matthew Needles & Heather Lee

University of Virginia

1.67

-4.80

vs Predicted
9

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-6.48

vs Predicted
10

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

-7.62

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.38

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.87

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

0.1%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.03

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

0.2%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.2

Matthew Needles & Heather Lee

University of Virginia

1.67

0.2%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.38

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Billy Hluchan	28.1%	25.8%	21.3%	15.1%	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	30.5%	27.3%	21.7%	14.4%	6.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	28.1%	25.8%	21.3%	15.1%	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Natalie Ross	8.8%	9.3%	15.4%	19.4%	47.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	28.1%	25.8%	21.3%	15.1%	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Luke Gossman	16.6%	21.6%	20.8%	24.5%	16.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	28.1%	25.8%	21.3%	15.1%	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Matthew Needles	16.0%	16.0%	20.8%	26.6%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	28.1%	25.8%	21.3%	15.1%	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	30.5%	27.3%	21.7%	14.4%	6.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.