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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+2.06vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University1.15+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.44+0.58vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.18+2.66vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09-0.31vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.57-1.53vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.49vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.20-0.43vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-2.50-1.03vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.57-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Washington University0.6721.6%1st Place
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2.31Ohio State University1.1535.9%1st Place
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3.58University of Illinois0.4415.8%1st Place
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6.66Indiana University-1.183.5%1st Place
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4.69Ohio State University0.098.2%1st Place
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6.11Michigan State University-0.974.8%1st Place
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5.47Hope College-0.575.6%1st Place
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7.51Michigan Technological University-1.711.9%1st Place
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8.57Miami University-2.201.1%1st Place
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8.97Ohio State University-2.500.8%1st Place
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9.07Purdue University-2.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 21.6% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 35.9% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 15.8% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Knox | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Emily Williams | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caden Meyers | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| Graham Parsons | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 21.7% |
| John Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 30.3% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.