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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+4.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+6.07vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.23vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+3.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55-0.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-2.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+1.54vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.38+1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-3.52vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.75-8.92vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-4.71vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.77-8.37vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-3.15vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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4.56Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.56Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.88Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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4.08Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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12.85Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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15.24Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 3.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 29.0% | 11.4% |
| Celia Houston | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Simone Ford | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 27.1% | 10.6% |
| Kate Adams | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.