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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+6.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+2.06vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+4.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+0.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+0.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.77-0.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.31-3.91vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.57+0.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.92-1.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-5.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-4.34vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.38-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.54-4.41vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-2.99vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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4.06Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.64Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.09Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.94Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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13.01Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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15.29Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 31.9% | 10.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Simone Ford | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 29.8% | 11.5% |
| Kate Adams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 12.9% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.