← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College0.92+8.35vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.56+2.57vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.75+1.09vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.77+2.93vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+3.77vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.01-0.85vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.57vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.50-1.43vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.73-3.08vs Predicted
-
11Boston University-0.38+1.96vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.52-4.40vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.31-7.76vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-1.06vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.57-4.54vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.54-5.26vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.88-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.35Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
4.57Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
4.09Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
-
6.93Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.15Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.92Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
12.96Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.6Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
5.24Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
12.94Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
10.74University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
15.27Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.6% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 30.3% | 12.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Ford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 29.3% | 11.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Kate Adams | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.