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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+3.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.77+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.14+8.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.92+5.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.31+0.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.50+1.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.61vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.36+4.75vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-3.00vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-5.94vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-3.46vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-4.43vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.73-7.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-4.63vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-3.05vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.88-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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6.75Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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5.23Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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12.75Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.06Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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12.95Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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15.25Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 3.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Ford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 28.2% | 10.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.0% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 27.8% | 11.8% |
| Kate Adams | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 12.6% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.