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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+1.25vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.65+2.42vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.97+2.08vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.71+0.60vs Predicted
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5Washington University-0.80-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.70+0.78vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.37+1.02vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.03-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-3.09+0.33vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.29-4.14vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Ohio State University0.6538.9%1st Place
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4.42Hope College-0.6512.2%1st Place
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5.08Ohio State University-0.978.8%1st Place
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4.6Michigan State University-0.7110.5%1st Place
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4.74Washington University-0.809.4%1st Place
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6.78University of Notre Dame-1.703.9%1st Place
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8.02Miami University-2.371.8%1st Place
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5.28Purdue University-1.038.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Illinois-3.090.5%1st Place
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5.86Indiana University-1.295.1%1st Place
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9.64Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 38.9% | 27.0% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Avery | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 11.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 30.0% | 34.8% |
| Brandon Kem | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 23.8% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.