Race 4 - colony-cup | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%

Within 2 Positions

3.1

Avg Position Diff

10

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

+1.37

vs Predicted
2

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

+0.52

vs Predicted
3

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-0.48

vs Predicted
4

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

-0.97

vs Predicted
5

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-2.48

vs Predicted
6

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

-2.11

vs Predicted
7

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-4.48

vs Predicted
8

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-5.48

vs Predicted
9

Matthew Needles & Heather Lee

University of Virginia

1.67

-5.80

vs Predicted
10

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

-7.63

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.37

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.03

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

0.2%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.89

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

0.1%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.52

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.2

Matthew Needles & Heather Lee

University of Virginia

1.67

0.2%

1st Place
2.37

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Ian Connors	32.3%	26.7%	20.0%	13.8%	7.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.1%	26.2%	22.1%	17.2%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.1%	26.2%	22.1%	17.2%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Luke Gossman	17.6%	18.9%	23.4%	22.7%	17.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.1%	26.2%	22.1%	17.2%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Natalie Ross	7.1%	10.9%	14.8%	20.8%	46.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.1%	26.2%	22.1%	17.2%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.1%	26.2%	22.1%	17.2%	7.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Matthew Needles	15.9%	17.3%	19.7%	25.5%	21.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	32.3%	26.7%	20.0%	13.8%	7.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.