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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+1.90vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.39+3.16vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.62+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.28+4.38vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.75+2.08vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.85-1.84vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.28+1.34vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.68-0.71vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.22-0.49vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.06-3.70vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.81-4.02vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.19+0.19vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.62-0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-1.05-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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5.16Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.64Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.08Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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4.16Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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8.34Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.29Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.51Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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6.3Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.98Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ehnot | 30.1% | 24.2% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 13.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Solmo | 14.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Martha Hughes | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Lola Kohl | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rohit Rajan | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 22.1% | 14.4% |
| Mark Carella | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 27.0% | 27.9% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 46.1% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.