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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+4.26vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+0.86vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.28+5.26vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.75+3.04vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.68+2.28vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.85-1.85vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.62-2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.28+0.37vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.06-2.85vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.22-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.05+0.73vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.81-4.91vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.19-0.88vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-1.62-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-2.13-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.86Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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8.26Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.04Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.28Tulane University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.15Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.72Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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6.15Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 30.6% | 23.3% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Martha Hughes | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Solmo | 13.7% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 12.6% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 19.8% | 11.6% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 22.0% | 14.5% |
| Mark Carella | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 28.0% | 24.8% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 21.6% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.