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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+1.86vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.75+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+5.32vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.85+0.14vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.28+3.37vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.72vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.22+1.49vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.68-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.05+2.68vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.81-2.97vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.06-4.74vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.62-7.11vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.19-0.89vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-1.62-1.19vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-2.13-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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6.94Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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4.14Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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8.37Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.28Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.49Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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7.28Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.03Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.26Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.89Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ehnot | 29.7% | 24.1% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Solmo | 16.2% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Essie Clifton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Martha Hughes | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 8.2% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 22.7% | 15.1% |
| Mark Carella | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 25.1% | 27.7% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.