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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+4.25vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.62+2.56vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.85+1.10vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.06+2.15vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.45-2.00vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.68+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.28+1.31vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-0.94vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.22-0.45vs Predicted
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10Rice University0.28-1.51vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.81-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.05-0.10vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.62-0.11vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-1.19-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.56Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.1Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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6.15Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.0Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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7.31Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.06Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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8.55Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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8.49Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.93Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 27.8% | 23.4% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Hughes | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ricky Miller | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joe Slipper | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 10.7% |
| Mark Carella | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 18.7% | 26.8% | 27.2% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 46.8% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 22.2% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.